What Happened: Escalating jihadist violence, political coups, and the involvement of Wagner Group mark a chaotic chapter. France and allies are pulling back, while Russia and mercenaries fill the void.
Why It Matters: The fragile security landscape threatens regional stability, impacts supply chains, and complicates international counterterror efforts.
Short-Term: Weeks ahead: more militant attacks, unstable governments, disrupted trade routes.
Long-Term: In 6–24 months: potential for entrenched conflict zones, affecting international logistics and diplomatic relationships.
Sentiment:
Negative - Increasing violence and instability signal a deteriorating security environment with regional and global repercussions.