What Happened: Following a military coup in Niger, ECOWAS is threatening military intervention to restore the ousted president. The situation has escalated into a geopolitical tinderbox involving the U.S., Russia, and regional allies.
Why It Matters: This could ignite broader regional conflict impacting supply chains, security cooperation, and political stability across West Africa, with potential ripple effects on France’s interests.
Short-Term: Heightened regional instability, possible military escalation in Niger.
Long-Term: Persisting instability could deter foreign investment and disrupt logistics routes in West Africa for months to years.
Sentiment:
Negative - The ongoing security crisis poses serious threats to regional stability and French interests.