What Happened: Extremist groups like JNIM, Boko Haram, and ISGS are spreading chaos, backed by Russia’s Wagner Group, amid political coups and poor governance.
Why It Matters: A destabilized Sahel jeopardizes regional stability, security, and peace—plus, it’s bad for trade routes and aid deliveries.
Short-Term: Escalation of militancy with possible increased military interventions.
Long-Term: A prolonged chaos scenario that could alter regional alliances and security policies for years.
Sentiment:
Negative - Growing violence and external meddling look bad for stability.